Fantasy Baseball Blog at Razzball.com
Fantasy Baseball Advice
We at Razzball realize that exporting our views across the country has damaging consequences on the blogosphere. To help make amends, we are reaching out to leading team blogs and featuring their locally blogged answers to pressing 2014 fantasy baseball questions regarding their team. We feel this approach will be fresher, more sustainable, and require less energy consumption (for us anyway). The 2014 Mets Fantasy Baseball Preview comes courtesy of Eno Sarris from FanGraphs.
Organizational Talent Rankings via Baseball America 2013 (5) | 2012 (28) | 2011 (29) | 2010 (8) | 2009 (2) 2013 Affiliate Records MLB: [62-100] NL East AAA: [72-72] Pacific Coast League — New Orleans AA: [73-63] Southern League — Jacksonville A+: [68-69] Florida State League — Jupiter A: [65-72] South Atlantic League — Greensboro A(ss): [39-36] New York-Penn League — Batavia Graduated Prospects Ed Lucas (INF); Marcell Ozuna (OF); Christian Yelich (OF); Derek Dietrich (2B); Jose Fernandez (RHP); Tom Koehler (RHP); A.J. Ramos (RHP); Dan Jennings (LHP) The Run Down The Marlins graduated a slew of high-impact prospects in 2013, including Jose Fernandez, Christian Yelich, and Marcell Ozuna. That sort of talent exodus will drag any system down the organizational ranks, but fortunately for Miami, this farm still features exciting fantasy potential in the form of Andrew Heaney, Colin Moran, and Jake Marisnick. It's probably safe to say that this system experienced the biggest drop-off from 2013 to 2014, but there's still plenty of intrigue here.
“The Iron Horse”After the 1938 season, Yankee pitcher Wes Ferrell, who played golf with Gehrig on a regular basis, noticed that Lou refrained from wearing golf cleats; instead he wore sneakers, and was sliding his feet along the ground. He became frightened that something was wrong, and notified Yankee skipper Joe McCarthy. Gehrig played the first 8 games of the 1939 season, but it was apparent that he was not the same player as before. When Gehrig made a routine play with more then a small bit of difficulty, several Yankees, including Bill Dickey and Joe Gordon, patted him on the back, complimenting him on his effort. It was at that point that Gehrig knew the gig was up, and feeling utterly humiliated, took himself out of the game.
We at Razzball realize that exporting our views across the country has damaging consequences on the blogosphere. To help make amends, we are reaching out to leading team blogs and featuring their locally blogged answers to pressing 2014 fantasy baseball questions regarding their team. We feel this approach will be fresher, more sustainable, and require less energy consumption (for us anyway). The 2014 White Sox Fantasy Baseball Preview comes courtesy of Bill Mahoney from Can I Get A Few Minutes?.
Richard... Fat guy in a little coat... Fat guy in a little coat... Fantasy Baseballers... Small guy with a big bat... Small guy with a biiiiig baaaat... Here's my first ballsy projection for you guys this year: .283AVG-7HR-10SB-61R-63RBI (361OBP/.404SLG/.765OPS/.340wOBA). But let me clarify... think of him as your 2014 version of the 2013 version of Anthony Rendon. Razzball's Scott Evans tagged La Stella as the #7 prospect in the Braves' system. While he lacks notable tools (as we can see by his MiLB counting stats), he should have the biggest and best thing going his way... Opportunity, and by opportunity I mean Dan Uggla.
If I am correct on my predictions, the NL pennant race will be a fun one. I see three teams with playoff potential, and a fourth that is just shy of it. Sorry San Diego fans, this isn't your year. [Ed. Note -- JERK!] Good news though, the Chinese calendar says it is going to be the year of the Tony Gwynn soon. [Ed. Note -- I take it back. Sorta.] (You can check out the AL West Spring Training Preview here, the AL Central Spring Training Preview here and the NL East Spring Training Preview here.)
Look at me, mom, I did it, I really did it. Wow! What a long road it's been to get here. I've finally reached the mountaintop, the pinnacle, if you will, and it wouldn't have been possible without all the love and support I've received along the way. I have so many people to thank that helped get me to this point. Sorry, about that... I was practicing what I would use as an acceptance speech at the Oscars. You mean to tell me that was last Sunday? And I wasn't nominated for anything? Well, shizz. Maybe Ryan Braun can use this for his speech when he wins another MVP award without the help of PEDs. Wait, he probably used them in 2011 when he first won the MVP? I guess it just depends who you ask. Go ask Matt Kemp what he thinks, I dare you. Better yet, I double dog dare you! Au shizz, now you have to!
We at Razzball realize that exporting our views across the country has damaging consequences on the blogosphere. To help make amends, we are reaching out to leading team blogs and featuring their locally blogged answers to pressing 2014 fantasy baseball questions regarding their team. We feel this approach will be fresher, more sustainable, and require less energy consumption (for us anyway). The 2014 Diamondbacks Fantasy Baseball Preview comes courtesy of Jim McLennan from AZSnakePit.
Like the 2nd basemen to target post, this is necessary. You want to take flyers on late middle infielders. I like a few top shortstops this year: Segura, Desmond and Andrus, but if you don't get them, don't sweat it and definitely don't 'panic reach' for another shortstop just because you feel like you need one. This is a (legal-in-all-countries-except-Lichtenstein) supplement to the top 20 shortstops for 2014 fantasy baseball. The players listed have a draft rank after 200 on other sites. Click on the player’s name where applicable to read more and see their 2014 projections. Anyway, here’s some shortstops to target for 2014 fantasy baseball:
This is a post for the fantasy baseball drafters who use Excel, Google Docs, or some other war room software that automatically totals a drafted team's stats while in the middle of a draft. Or perhaps for those of you who do mock drafts or simulated drafts. The below grid represents my projected 75% mark in each stat category across 10/12/14/15/16 team ESPN and Yahoo default roster format leagues. These numbers should only be used directionally. Please note that each projection source projects to a different league average so your team may look great if using a 'bullish' source and look poor if using a 'bearish' source. Personally, I ignore team totals throughout a draft and go by feel in terms of my team's balance. While I have had regrettable drafts over the years, I do not recall one that failed because my team was not balanced enough. If I do happen to have the time and curiosity to do an in-draft litmus test, I just add up the dollar values per category to see which categories are lowest.
The post Fantasy Baseball Draft Goals For 5×5 Stat Categories appeared first on Fantasy Baseball Blog at Razzball.com.
The name says it all, it's what everyone keeps asking for, NSVH. It sounds like a spin-off of CSI, or Law and Order. Except with really geeky dudes who shouldn't really have an actual head-shot of themselves for use as their avatar. We know who they are, and pointing fingers isn't polite unless it's the one that I normally get from people at the retirement home I frequent for volunteer duties. Much love Shady Acres. So this week we delve into the numbers game, the ones that mimic me and steal my Nutella sandwich. These projections are highly irregular and tougher than most other stats in the pretend game. The fluctuation of personnel by teams is mind boggling and makes me look goofy. So in the chart below I am giving you the top-60 NSVH chaps with some pertinent stats that help all. During the year, I'll get into more of the sustaining stats, but since we aren't there yet, I can't just make them up. Those tendency stats that I am referring to (Inherited Runners, Inherited Runners Scored, and Appearances with Lead) are my way of determining both closer and set-up guy efficiency. How they are used and when they are used. So those that are looking forward to that, hooray for you. So without further adieu, here are some projections for the top NSVH guys for this year.
I know what some of you are thinking. I can't believe it's not butter. And you people...you're absolutely right. It's part plastic and melted horse hooves combined with yellow dye #88 which causes diarrhea, loss of sight and limb loss in some consumers. It's in the fine print, yo! But then there are others of you. Those ones are thinking something else. What is this 'daily fantasy' business? Fantasy baseball is already 'daily'. How is this any different? You're astute, people who speak in italics. It's true, in many ways Daily Fantasy is nothing new with respect to the game you're used to playing, per se. Just like Coors tries to trick you into thinking they have more than one crappy product by selling you the same swill in different cans and bottles - oooh, it turns blue when it's cold? It'll still taste like deer piss, people - daily fantasy isn't that huge of a step away from the game you know, love and play. But we're getting ahead of ourselves here. For now, I'm simply happy to announce we're teaming back up with Draftkings this year for 2014 Fantasy Baseball for your daily fantasy pleasure. That link you just saw? That's a portal to all the fun and it helps us out because its our referral. We're not begging you to use it but if you plan on playing this year and this is the first time you've ever signed up, why not play and help a brotha out, ya know? Two birds, one stone, which is kind of a morbid analogy when you think about it so lets not. Bee Tee Dubs, this post is gonna cover some important news later on that we're excited about so don't y'all leave before the buzzer sounds. In other words, hold onto your potatoes Docta Jones cuz we're gonna tell you all that we can about Draftkings and what it means for Razzball for 2014 Fantasy Baseball...
The post I Don’t Care If You Paint Or Not, Here’s Your Draftkings Primer appeared first on Fantasy Baseball Blog at Razzball.com.
Japhet Amador is a giant man, standing at 6-foot-4, weighing in at 315 pounds. In the Mexican League, where he's played for the last four years, they called him El Gran Burrito. Mexican President Enrique Peña Nieto once remarked that Amador is welcome at the Presidential Palace anytime, as long as Amador brings his own snacks. When Jose Altuve heard the Astros signed Amador, Altuve was thrilled. No more walking around for Altuve; Amador will just carry him around in a baby bjorn. I watched video of Amador and I've never seen such a slow bat through the zone. He looks like a Mexican Meat Loaf in a celebrity softball game. I swear, Amador stopped to eat one of those spicy dried mango candies halfway through his swing. His power is huge, but I'm not sure he'd gonna be able to catch up to anything. Last year in the Mexican League, he hit 36 homers and he's 27 years old. The Mexican League is supposedly comparable to Triple-A, only instead of buses for transportation, the teams pile into a Toyota Tercel. Right now, he looks pegged for Triple-A, but since the Astros have Robbie Grossman, Marc Krauss, Jesus Guzman and J.D. Martinez vying for everyday ABs, anything could happen. I'd take a flyer on Amador in AL-Only leagues, and wait and see in mixed leagues. Best case scenario, he gets the DH job and hits 25+ homers and .220. The worst case scenario, you draft Altuve and Amador accidentally sits on him. Anyway, here's what else I saw recently in spring training for 2014 fantasy baseball:
As a former radio geek that tired of the shallow money trench and the playing of “Free Bird” for the 7,432 time, I’m a fan of taking those radio hits and mashing them up beyond recognition. Take a couple of things that don’t belong together like Metallica and Stevie Wonder, throw them in the blender and you get something sad but superstitious.
There’s a reason why people get hung up on a guy like Ryan Howard. Playing long ball in fantasy, of course, is a losing game. Power guys are often slobs who whiff, make errors, and fail to get on base. But you knew that already. This is kind of who Ryan Howard has always been, but when he was going good, Howard would hit for decent average and do extremely well in the slugging and OPS categories. When he started going bad, which was about four years ago, these stats began to shrivel up like Tommy Lasorda’s sack and Ryan Howard became a not-very-productive, and not-very-popular, fantasy baseball player. Gettin' nerdy with it, the stat page says he’s chased more pitches outside the strike zone in the past two seasons than at any point in his career.
Organizational Talent Rankings via Baseball America 2013 (6) | 2012 (10) | 2011 (17) | 2010 (5) | 2009 (13) 2013 Affiliate Records MLB: [97-65] AL East AAA: [80-63] International League – Pawtucket AA: [68-73] Eastern League – Portland A+: [76-64] Carolina League – Salem A: [51-87] South Atlantic League – Greenville A(ss): [40-33] New York-Penn League — Lowell Graduated Prospects None The Run Down This Boston farm is exceptionally strong from a fantasy perspective, but it's a different brand of strength from the top-of-the-league systems that we've recently discussed. Orgs like the Cubs, Twins, Astros, and Pirates all feature a grouping of extreme high-impact prospects at the top of their ranks, whereas Boston's main attraction is in its fantasy-relevant depth. Excluding Xander Bogaerts from the conversation, there aren't any sure-fire top 50 prospects in this group (although Garin Cecchini is certainly in the T50 conversation), but even so, it'd be difficult to find another farm as strong as Boston is from prospects #5 through #10. Everyone here can be owned comfortably in dynasty formats, and that's a rarity among these preseason top 10's.
Psst! This post is gonna list 2nd basemen that you should target in your 2014 fantasy baseball drafts. I'm whispering because you don't want everyone to see this post. No, I can't whisper louder. Then it WOULDN'T BE WHISPERING! Okay, gig's up (or maybe that's jig's up), the love I'm about to reiterately (Made Up Word of the Day!) confirm are guys I love later in drafts. Am I drafting any of these guys in the first 12 rounds? Probably not (except for Brad Miller -- hello, beautiful! Come here, let Grey massage your balls...The balls of your feet, silly! Oh, that feels good on my hands. Can I tickle your toes with my mustache? Weird?). These are players that you're looking at later and all of them have ADPs after 200. Some could be the 2nd baseman on your team, they are more than likely MIs. This is a (legal-in-all-countries-except-Spanish-speaking-ones) supplement to the top 20 2nd basemen for 2014 fantasy baseball. Click on the player’s name where applicable to read more and see their 2014 projections. Anyway, here’s some 2nd basemen to target for 2014 fantasy baseball:
This is part of a four-part series using Rudy and Grey's Razzball Commenter League experience as well as some modeling (the dorky kind) to quantify the effectiveness of streaming and how it should inform one's draft strategy in shallow mixed leagues (10-12 teams). The first three posts will focus on quantifying the value of streaming starting pitchers, relief pitchers, and hitters. The fourth will synthesize the learnings from the three and how they impact draft strategy. The streaming decisions made by Grey and I were HIGHLY influenced by our free, daily updated tools for streaming starting pitchers (Stream-o-nator) and hitters (Hitter-tron). If you are reading this article (or this site for that matter), I assume you are familiar with streaming starting pitchers. This is an essential strategy in all daily league formats whether one plays standard Roto or H2H. While my beloved Stream-o-nator aims to make sure all our readers make the most informed decisions on which pitchers to stream over the next 7 days (and possibly more in 2014), I have yet to read any analysis that quantifies the value of the average streaming pitcher to inform draft strategy. So this post is going to focus on quantifying the value of a streaming SP and, once I've completed quantifying the value of streaming relievers and hitters, I will figure out how this impacts draft strategy.
The post Fantasy Baseball Streaming – Valuing Starting Pitchers appeared first on Fantasy Baseball Blog at Razzball.com.
Is it just me or does the pitcher we're talking about need to work in showbiz? Particularly as some sort of game show host and even more particularly, the Love Connection. Yeah, lets bring that back, put a 2010s spin on it where all the first dates are just two people standing next to each other at a dance club, smiling at their phones as they're sending private snapchats back and forth. That's riveting television people! And later on, JFOH sexted me that he wanted his P in my V, F me in the A and then J off on my T's and I totes said yes! Magical...true modern love in the making there. He even wrote a song about it. Just an FYI, ICYMI that vid is probably NSFW given context...m'kay. But of course you didn't come here to find out about JFOH's creative, more gentle musical side, you came to talk about the man, the myth, the emoticon: Drew Smyly. Yeah, I called him emoticon. I think we should call him that together. It's better than calling him the Smyly Faced Killer. That's just morbid. In the end, there's a lot to like about Drew for the 2014 season and I have a few good reasons why...oh, you wanna know what they are I see. Well then follow me on a magical journey to a distant land by clicking on the title of this post if you're on the homepage and just seeing this paragraph and see why Smyly is a good get in deep leagues for the 2014 Fantasy Baseball season...
Here, friend, are some catchers that I will be targeting at my 2014 fantasy drafts after the top options are gone. I’m not going to get into the strategy of punting catchers. Been there, half-drunkenly wrote that three years ago then had to fight Steve McQueen for writing credit. Click on the player’s name where applicable to read more and see their 2014 projections. This is a (legal-in-most-countries) supplement to the top 20 catchers of 2014 fantasy baseball. Now, guys and four girl readers, I am not saying avoid catchers like Salvador Perez if they fall, but to get on this list, you need to be drafted later than 200 overall. And, to preemptively answer at least seven comments, yes, I will go around the entire infield, outfield and pitchers to target very late. Anyway, here’s some catchers to target for 2014 fantasy baseball:
First off, I would like to say Eric Sogard should be the Face of the MLB; that vote was rigged in David Wright's favor. Baseball needs more nerdy-looking, glasses-touting, Bernie-leanin', jive-walking players. But without further ado, here is the AL West Spring Training Showdown. (You can check out the AL Central Spring Training Preview here and NL East Spring Training Preview here.)
Greetings! Tis I, Tehol Beddict, back again to educate, subjugate, and perhaps even procreate if you deem myself worthy. Last week's post got a bit nasty, but guess what? I'm a nasty boy, just like my deceased brother Biggie, so I liked it. My closest friends speak to me like I'm Jonathan Martin, so these negative comments didn't cut too deep. A trip to Scottsdale was all my chicken and I required to return to the writing world like Jesus, when the whole needs us. My Arizona trip in a nutshell: Steamy modeling shoot in Scottsdale, tanning nude with the Phoenix Suns dance team, speaking with government officials about their negative reception to gays and minorities and how it must stop or I will no longer be visiting their desert wasteland of a city, and ending it all with some of the most sumptuous lap dances I've ever experienced, including one from the beazle who starred in the cult hit Grandma's Boy (probably NSFW). I hate that movie by the way. Despise it really. Moving on.
The post “Sir” Domonic Brown: Your 2014 Fantasy Baseball MVP? appeared first on Fantasy Baseball Blog at Razzball.com.
Greetings plebeians and plebeianettes. You may remember a little about this series from the former me: Oregon Nut Cups. Or you probably don't because it's been like 2 years since it happened and I'm changing the format to target one player rather than rambling about everyone based on their position. But of course, you don't care about taking a trip down memory lane with me nor down mammory lane as we talk about great scenes from adult entertainment history. Asia Carrera, my heart and crusty socks go to you...nay, you're here to snuggle up to some bargain players in your draft this year. As we all know - and if you don't, now you do - I'm talking to you deep leaguers. Whether it's a 14 teamer or a large starting roster, you gotta find bargains where you can and of all positions this is tantamount, catcher is probably the biggest in my book. It's one where the haves and the have nots line isn't as big as people want to draw it up to be and where you can get away with ignoring a bunch of players once the top few fly off the board...which is just how I like it. Keep in mind, I'm the artist formerly known as ONC that brought you Wilin Rosario with my Wilin Rosario Sleeper post back in 2012. Way back then, you could get a gallon of gas for about 25 cents, your shoes shined for a nickel and Rosario went undrafted. My how times have changed...So here I'm going to bring to you the man that has pretty much been declared the starting catcher for the Indians for this year - Yan Gomes - and why he's a nice snag in deeper leagues for the 2014 Fantasy Baseball season...
Taijuan Walker was shut down for a week due to a bursa in his right shoulder. Isn't a bursa a type of Ethiopian bread? Sounds more like Somalians are holding my beautiful, upside starting pitcher captive. Only Captain Phillips can get me out of this mess...by being taken captive for two hours of a two hour and twenty minute movie and then being saved by characters we don't even empathize with. Snooze. True story, schmue story, give Phillips a hidden machine gun in his rectum and let him shoot his way out by farting! This is starting to sound bad for Walker. I haven't moved him in my top 80 starters for 2014 fantasy baseball yet, and, since I only have him down for 170 IP in my projections, I'm not changing anything, but I'd definitely be careful about pairing Walker with lots of other risk. As of right now, Walker will not be ready to start the year in the rotation. Anyway, here's what else I've seen in Spring Training for fantasy baseball:
We at Razzball realize that exporting our views across the country has damaging consequences on the blogosphere. To help make amends, we are reaching out to leading team blogs and featuring their locally blogged answers to pressing 2014 fantasy baseball questions regarding their team. We feel this approach will be fresher, more sustainable, and require less energy consumption (for us anyway). The 2014 Dodgers Fantasy Baseball Preview comes courtesy of Mike Petriello from Dodgers Digest.
Organizational Talent Rankings via Baseball America 2013 (7) | 2012 (13) | 2011 (19) | 2010 (15) | 2009 (18) 2013 Affiliate Records MLB: [94-68] NL Central AAA: [80-64] International League – Indianapolis AA: [63-79] Eastern League – Altoona A+: [57-77] Florida State League – Bradenton A: [82-58] South Atlantic League – West Virginia A(ss): [43-52] New York-Penn League — Jamestown Graduated Prospects Gerrit Cole (RHP); Justin Wilson (LHP); Bryan Morris (RHP) The Run Down This Pittsburgh farm is a definite top tier system for fantasy, loaded with impact potential on both sides of the game. After watching homegrown talents like Starling Marte and Gerrit Cole graduate into the big leagues over the past two seasons, we're already accustomed to looking toward the Pirates for youthful fantasy help, and that trend should continue in 2014 as Gregory Polanco and Jameson Taillon appear ready for big league arrival. Looking deeper, though, there's impact talent at every level of this org, and even after Polanco and Taillon push through to the majors, prospects like Tyler Glasnow and Austin Meadows figure to fill those voids nicely.
For a seemingly decent leadoff hitter, Angel Pagan gets very little press. Fantasypros.com has him ranked 246th overall, ESPN has him as the 156th best hitter. Both rankings have him placed near players like David Freese, Chris Carter, Adam LaRoche, and Alcides Escobar. Outside of his injuries, Pagan has been exactly what a leadoff hitter should be: getting on base often and have the potential to steal. In 2012, his last full season, he ranked 66th in OBP among qualified hitters. That is above players like Jason Heyward, Ian Desmond, Jason Kipnis, and Adam Jones. If his 2013 numbers were extrapolated to a full season, he would have ranked 73rd.
Little known facts about Sky. Not only does he do some Deep League thinking, he plays in a keeper league. A deep keeper league, if you will. And for those new to the Razzball world, he also writes on the Fantasy Football side. But if you're new to the site, everything is news to you. In fact, I think I could lie my arse off. Maybe we should play one lie, two truths as a way to get to know each other? But then again, why would we want to do that? Let's just stay friends...well maybe distant friends...better yet, let's not be friends. I'll go with casual internet acquaintances. I have problems with commitment...but of course when it comes to keepers, my Sterling Archer-like mommy issues go out the window and I fall head over heels for guys that I want to hold and snuggle tight to my bosom. Wanna know another truth? I drafted Matt Harvey in my keeper league last year in the 8th round and was downright ecstatic. Then he pitched like he did and I was straight up twitterpated over the man. But then September hit, his arm basically fell off, and my heart felt like it had been ripped through my backside via roto-rooter. All this to say, I'm not keeping him and chances are many players in keeper leagues will do the same as me and throw him back into the draft day pool. But that doesn't mean he won't be mine again. Oh yes, he will be mine again. So here's why I'm targeting Harvey the wonder pitcher in keeper leagues for 2014 Fantasy Baseball...
As spring training takes off, we, the wonderful people of Razzball, thought it would be a good idea to look into some intra-team rivalries. What positions are a lock? What positions are being fought over? What positions will they hire me to fill-in for (second base Blue Jays, I’m looking at you)? Find out as the second part of this series will focus on AL Central… (You can check out the NL East Spring Training Preview here.)