Top Prospect Spring Training Updates: The Pitchers
Posted Mike Caprio March 18, 2009
Jordan Zimmermann
Zimmermann boosted his already elevated stock this Spring with a 0.00 ERA in 12.1 Innings. Zimmermann started two games, and relieved two allowing 6 hits and 2 walks for a .661 WHIP with 11.9 K/9 and a 8 K/BB ratio. The dearth of pitching alternatives for the Nationals may very well lead to a rotation spot for the young right hander. Rated as the #56 prospect according to Baseball Prospectus and #41 by Baseball America for this season, Jordan appears to have increased his prospect value with this spring audition. Disclaimer: Spring Training, especially with the talent dilution due to the WBC, should be regarded with caution in evaluating players, but his dominance will be noticed on draft day.
Brett Cecil
Brett emerged on the prospect radar for most fantasy owners late last season with the Blue Jays’ AAA team in Syracuse. He has been a trendy “sleeper” in most Fantasy drafts this season. He’s a hard throwing lefty with a career minor league K/BB ratio of 3.55. So far this Spring, Cecil has done enough to warrant an invite to join the big club in Toronto. He’s made 4 appearances with two starts and 11.2 Innings pitched. He has only given up 4 ER’s (coming off of 2 HR’s), for a 3.09 ERA with 12 K’s (2.0 K/BB). In the AL East having a hard throwing lefty is important…he will suffer growing pains as all young lefties do, but he’s definitely a Keeper.
Tommy Hanson
Hanson may be the most “polished” prospect pitcher in baseball. He’s started two of three games for the Braves this Spring, likely as an audition for the 5th starter spot. His peripherals are good, allowing only 4 ER’s in over 10 innings of work (3.38 ERA), with 11 K’s vs. 4 BB’s (2.75 K/BB) and no HR’s allowed. He’s likely owned in every Keeper League, and outside of David Price, the closest high impact pitching prospect in baseball.
Carrasco has struggled this Spring, which is unfortunate based on the opportunity that now presents itself with Cole Hamels likely starting the season on the DL. In 10 Innings, Carrasco boasts a 6.30 ERA off of two bad outings and 2 HR’s. His 3.33 K/BB ratio (10K’s/3 BB’s) is good, but again, based on diluted talent this Spring, it’s the long ball that would worry me. He’s still an excellent prospect, but more likely beginning the season in AAA, than in Philly.
There have been few prospects that have generated more interest this off-season than Feliz. Is it pure “Hype” or is there something here? Last season when I selected Feliz with our 1st round pick (extended Draft), many in the league had never heard of him. Now he is ranked as the #6 Prospect by Baseball Prospectus and #10 by Baseball America. His Spring performance shouldn’t be used against him as he’ll begin this season in AA. But Feliz has been less than spectacular in 6 Innings in relief with 9 K’s, 4 BB’s (2.25 K/BB) & 13.5 K/9 with a 4.50 ERA and 1.83 WHIP. His reputation for “missing bats” wasn’t necessarily on display so far in Spring Training. However, if he continues the success he enjoyed last season, look for a mid-season call-up to Arlington. He is a must own in every Keeper League.
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Reuters Apple proved its tendency to issue ultra-conservative guidance and blockbuster earnings once again on Tuesday when it released fiscal third-quarter results. pple is very secretive and close to the vest. Theye not above sending out smoke signals that are misleading,?said a source in the investor-relations community who wished to remain anonymous. company that does that routinely ?maybe that when they should suffer a discount.?The company didn respond to a request for comment for this story. To be sure, Apple guidance strategy is not seen as illegal or even unethical. And the company is hardly alone in low-balling its forecasts. However, Apple does appear to be the highest-profile and largest company employing these tactics. For example, last October Apple forecasted quarterly earnings per share of $4.80, a projection that looked tame given the fact that analysts at the time had called for more robust EPS of $5.07. Three months later, Apple stock soared more than 4% after it posted results that absolutely blew away its own forecasts and Wall Street expectations. It said it earned $6.43 a share ?34% higher than its internal view ?on blockbuster sales of $26.7 billion. While analysts had inched their forecasts up slightly from their October view, they were still more than $1.00 off on EPS. Analysts were nearly $2 billion shy on their sales estimates. Likewise, on Tuesday Apple projected fiscal fourth-quarter EPS of about $5.50 on sales of about $25 billion. Wall Street had anticipated much stronger EPS of $6.45 on healthier revenue of $27.72 billion. Yet the company third-quarter profits of $7.79 absolutely crushed the Street view of just $5.50. Apple demonstrated in its October 2010 report a willingness to put a positive spin on its guidance when the conditions call for it. At the time, questions were swirling about the company ability to thrive without ailing CEO Steve Jobs, who announced plans to take a medical leave the day before. In a departure, Apple, which Reuters noted in its recap is otorious for its conservative forecasts,?projected EPS and sales that would significantly beat the Street. Impact on Market Value? ou don expect it from a company like Apple because theye so progressive and so forward thinking in every other walk of life,?said Rob Berick, senior managing director of Dix & Eaton, a communications consultancy that specializes in investor relations. n some ways, it nitpicking because it would be hard to argue the stock hasn delivered for its investors.?It certainly true Apple stock has performed wonderfully for investors over the past several years, in part due to its ability to garner incredible hype for its highly-successful products like the iPhone and iPad. Since plummeting to $82 in January 2009 during the depths of the recession, Apple surged to an all-time high of $369 on Monday ?marking an incredible return of 350% and making it one of the best performing stocks in the U.S. over that span. However, there is evidence that the poor management of investor relations can leave stocks undervalued, hurting shareholders. According to a 2009 report from Rivel Research Group, there was a 25% discount for highly ineffective investor relations departments, up from 15% in 2007. The study also showed a 10% premium built into stocks of companies with highly effective IR operations.
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